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Modeling results overview

Key takeaways from the Germany, Poland, and Turkey models — structured like a report, not a wall of text.

Germany model

  • We integrate 55,306 milking events with harmonised climate observations to study joint drivers of milk yield, protein, and fat.
  • Causal rolling features and target-specific whitelists minimise information leakage in chronological validation.
  • Gradient-boosted tree models surpass linear baselines, with LightGBM and CatBoost achieving test-set R² between 0.75 and 0.89.

Poland model

Turkey model

Re-run the pipeline when new milking or climate data becomes available.